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Wednesday, October 26, 2011

TOF Translation Service 

Current global warming appears anomalous in relation to the climate of the last 20000 years
Svante Björck
Department of Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, 
Division of Geology, Quaternary Sciences, Lund University, Sölveg. 12,
223 62 Lund, Sweden
ABSTRACT: To distinguish between natural and anthropogenic forcing, the supposedly ongoing global warming needs to be put in a longer, geological perspective. When the last ca. 20000 yr of climate development is reviewed, including the climatically dramatic period when the Last Ice Age ended, the Last Termination, it appears that the last centuries of globally rising temperatures should be regarded as an anomaly. Other, often synchronous climate events are not expressed in a globally consistent way, but rather are the expression of the complexities of the climate system. Due to the often poor precision in the dating of older proxy records, such a statement will obviously be met with some opposition. However, as long as no globally consistent climate event prior to today’s global warming has been clearly documented, and considering that climate trends during the last millennia in different parts of the world have, in the last century or so, changed direction into a globally warming trend, we ought to regard the ongoing changes as anomalies, triggered by anthropogenically forced alterations of the carbon cycle in the general global environment. 
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TRANSLATION: Data on paleotemperatures are fuzzy and uncertain, therefore we're all gonna die!!!

For further commentary, see here

Forget the 1,900 papers published in the past documenting the Little Ice Age in China, New Zealand, Chile, Greenland, Europe, etc.  Compare one site in the Southern Hemisphere to one site in the Northern Hemisphere and all past science can be dropped down the memory hole with no more than a casual remark that it "will obviously be met with some opposition." Ya think?

Sure, temperatures might have been warmer in the past than today, but you can't prove really-truly no-foolin' that they changed absolutely simultaneous all over the world at the same time.  So there.  

The Baconian paradigm may be starting to eat its young.  

__________________________
We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it.
-- Phil Jones, Hadley Climate Research Unit

2 comments:

  1. "...as long as no globally consistent climate event prior to today’s global warming has been clearly documented...."

    Isn't that assuming absence of evidence is evidence of absence?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Cardinal Pell on Climate Change: selling Carbon Credits is like selling Indulgences

    http://www.thegwpf.org/international-news/4214-cardinal-pell-carbon-credits-like-medieval-indulgences.html

    >> Sometimes the very learned and clever can be brilliantly foolish, especially when seized by an apparently good cause. My request is for common sense and more, not less; what the medievals, following Aristotle, called prudence, one of the four cardinal virtues: the recta ratio agibilium or right reason in doing things. We might call this a cost-benefit analysis, where costs and benefits are defined financially and morally or humanly, and their level of probability is carefully estimated.<<

    Note the link, after the end of the article, to the PDF of the full lecture.

    ReplyDelete