“We live in the ruins of a civilization, but
the ruins are in our minds.”
– John Lukacs, The
Passing of the Modern Age
1. The European Age.
The Modern Age was a European thing.
Beyond the forests of Transylvania, across the Mediterranean, terms like
Renaissance, Age of Reason, Scientific or Industrial Revolution had no traction.
Hungary had its renaissance; Romania did not. France celebrated the age of reason; Algeria did not.
In 1470 Pope Pius II, among
others, coined the term European to refer
to an inhabitant of that continent, for all practical purposes then synonymous
with white and Christian. Two-thirds of Christendom
had been lost to Islam and her horizons had shrunk effectively to the borders
of the European continent. The idea of a
European was thus contemporary with
the ideas of modern and progress. At the same time, civilized and cultured began
to mean the same thing, and the term primitive
appeared by 1540. This terminological
ferment signals the emergence of certain ways of thinking.
At the dawn of the Modern Ages, white
Europeans went forth from their
continent and brought their modern
civilized progress to every primitive
corner of the globe. Whole continents were
settled by Europeans. Byzantine Russia
was drawn into its orbit. The Jihad
faltered and broke at the Gates of Vienna.
And the rest of the world began to imitate European customs, laws, clothing,
technologies, architecture, parliaments, and science.
But the end came swiftly. In 1914, all but two African countries were ruled
by Europeans; eighty years later, none were.
In the interim, the Europeans had entered into a mutual suicide pact and
slaughtered one another by the millions on the altars of Nationalism. After that secular paroxysm, European
confidence evaporated. They no longer
went out to the colonies. The colonies
came to them: Indians and Pakistanis, Maghrebis and Turks began to colonize Europe. The Jihad
resumed. Today, Europeans are not even
reproducing themselves; and the intelligentsia use “progress” and “modern” with
ironic smirks rather than with earnest enthusiasm. Even the progress of science and technology is
viewed with green suspicion.[1] Something has gone out of the heart of the
European Thing.
Before we cheer too lustily, it
may have given us imperialism and colonialism, but it also gave us better
health, more democratic governance, broader communication and education, and a
host of other boons. “We are glad the
British left,” a Telugu friend of mine once told me in India, “but we are also
glad they came.”
Nothing happens overnight, and
nothing in history is inevitable; but in a few generations even Europe may no
longer be European. Some foresee a
“Caliphate of Europe,” while others believe the newcomers will adopt European culture. It could go any which way, which is happy
news for science fiction writers, if not for Europeans. But here is a piquant question: Can
parliaments and science outlive the context that gave them birth?
Is dishwater dull? Naturalists with microscopes have told me that
it teems with quiet fun.
–
G. K. Chesterton
2. The Bourgeois Age.
In 1910 every state in Europe was a monarchy, except France and
Switzerland, but the power of those monarchs had been dwindling throughout the
Modern Ages. In some countries, the
nobility had become little more than decorative accessories. Nearly every great mind and great work of art
of the past five hundred years – from Shakespeare to Stoppard and Rembrandt to
Renoir – has come from the bourgeoisie.
The bourgeois
mind was marked by intellectual self-discipline and honesty. They built “square and on the level,” and “Let
me level with you” became a common phrase for open frankness. Barzun [JB] regarded the bourgeois
intellectual’s “considered views” as “a broom with which to clear the mind of
cant.”[2] The bourgeoisie balanced liberty with equality
and gave us constitutional government.
But starting
about a century ago, the term bourgeois
began to be used in a pejorative sense.
This coincided with a movement out of the bourge (city) and into the suburbs.
By no coincidence, the term intellectual
took on the modern sense ca. 1884.
Historically, the literacy line had marked a clear distinction between
the masses and those who could “read important books and converse well.” But by the late 19th century,
pretty much everyone could read and write, and scientists and artists were
crowding in on the humanists.[3] A new line was needed to identify those who
read closely and conversed intelligently – not just literate, but intellectual. In democratic societies, that did not sit
well with the demos, and so intellectual
was almost from birth a pejorative. The
surest way to mark the Villain in your SF stories is to have him speak
precisely and correctly. Intellectuals
complained about the anti-intellectualism of “commercial culture.” But culture has always been commercial and
“anti-intellectualism” began with the invention of intellectuals [JB].
By the
1950s, “I feel” was replacing “I think” in common discourse. “Measured, cool reflection” was on its way
out; “committed, hot activism” was on its way in. “Square” became a pejorative. Reasoned debate and considered views gave way
to naked will. See the comm boxes on many blogs and magazines for illustrative examples. “I choose. Don’t ask me to give
reasons – I just choose!” It began to matter
less what you chose than that you chose. Shouting down disfavored speakers or
physically occupying the platform became frequent debating tactics at places
that had once been universities.
Barzun
saw certain recurrent images in the 1950s: abdication, desire for release, and
exhausted impotence. The boring adult
world of achieved self-discipline abdicated to an exciting adolescent world of
spontaneity and desire. People “idealize
youth,” he wrote, and “hope that youth will bring to the conduct of life an
energy that manners have sapped in their elders.”
Where
youth once desired maturity above all else, the mature now desire eternal youth. At the beginning of the age, young men of 14
and women of 12 could form marriages, enter contracts, own property, etc. At the end of the age, they are “children,”
and men in their mid-twenties behave like adolescents.
Is this
good or bad? Youth does have more energy, more creativity.[4] And the cool, considered reflections of the
bourgeoisie can sail awfully close to the complacency of the English Victorian
or Austrian Biedermaier.
And
what of the future? Literacy has not
made the masses more intellectual.
Instead, the intellectualism of the masses has become less focused, less
sharp. The term "middlebrow" appeared. A time may come when an impulsive
and unreflective people that feels
before it thinks will look back a bit
wistfully at “cool, considered reflection” and wish they did not live in such energetic
times.
The growing powerlessness of the modern state
reflects the abdication…of its erstwhile governing classes; and it is at least
probable that in its wake there will follow not the blessings of increased
liberty but a long transitory brutal period of insecurity and terror.
– John Lukacs, The Passing of the Modern Age
3. The Age of the State.
The
absolute, divine-right monarch had been unknown during medieval times, which
preferred its kings nominal and weak; but royal absolutism ensured peace and
security; and those are bourgeois virtues, par
excellence. So the rise of the
bourgeoisie meant the rise of the monarchs.
Strong monarchs were even seen as democratic – champions of the people
against unruly barons.
And
with the monarchs came the Totalizing State.
The self-governing chartered corporations of the Middle Ages – free
towns, universities, guilds, companies of players – were brought under State
regulation or control. The scope of State
authority continued increasing even after the bourgeoisie turned against the monarchs. Alexis de Tocqueville wrote that democratic
despotism would be “more extensive and more mild.”
The supreme power then … covers the surface of society with a net-work of small complicated rules, minute and uniform, through which the most original minds and the most energetic characters cannot penetrate to rise above the crowd. The will of man is not shattered, but softened, bent, and guided: men are seldom forced by it to act, but they are constantly restrained from acting.
The
result would be governments that would “interfere more
habitually and decidedly with the circle of private interests than any
sovereign of antiquity could ever do.”
Starting
ca. 1870, the States of Europe assumed power over the two fundamental principles
of private life: the formation of marriages and the education of children. Naturally, they had to fiddle with them until they had broken them. State-run secular schools with mandatory
attendance date from this time: Austria (1869), England (1870), Switzerland (1874),
the Netherlands (1876), Italy (1877), Belgium (1879), and France (early/ mid
1880’s). German public schools were secularized around this time also. State-run schools naturally glamorized the
State, and the net result was throngs of people cheering the onset of World War
One.
Likewise,
Austria instituted civil marriage in 1868, and the idea spread to Italy (1873),
Switzerland (1874), the German Empire (1875), and elsewhere. In the US, State licensure was used to
prevent interracial marriage. Today, we have
forgotten that people once married without State permission. By the early 1900s, the State even proposed
to decide who could marry whom based on Darwinian principles, although eugenics
got a bad rep shortly after and is now on hold.
What
comes next, Big Brother? Maybe not. A funny thing happened on the way to the
Total State. It began to fade away. Lukacs cites several reasons for this:
a) The impotence of technology. Large super-scientific States with massive arsenals found themselves in the position of “hunting bumblebees with an elephant gun.” And they no longer dared, as Napoleon had, to line up the cannons and fire on rioters.b) The democratization of warfare. The resistance movements of WWII presaged popular warfare carried out by small private groups. It had already been proven that no State could prevent incursions by air. In 1970, Lukacs wrote that they would be unable to prevent foreign incursions by land. “I am not thinking only of guerrilla and commando raids,” he wrote, “I am thinking of the sudden migratory pressure of large populations, sloshing across frontiers.”[5] The result will be a blurring of the line between war and peace: fighting may diminish or intensify at times, but will never entirely cease. States will be unable to negotiate and enforce a peace because there will be no State authority with which to negotiate.c) The deterioration of sovereignty. Toward the end of the Modern Ages, Popular Sovereignty began to subvert State Sovereignty as the main legitimizing authority. Both Hitler and Mussolini claimed their authority directly from the People, not from the constitutions of the Italian or German states. Even tyrants now stage election kabuki to claim rule in the name of “the People.”
After four
hundred years of bloody wars to make their respective boundaries match, the
Nation and the State have begun to part company once more. Multi-national States disintegrated
(Yugoslavia), divorced (Czechoslovakia), or devolved (the United Kingdom). The Scottish Parliament reconvened. Bretons, Basques, Flemings and Walloons began
to question the legitimacy of the States they lived in – echoing with no sense
of irony the Sudeten Germans of an earlier generation. The notion arose that politicians of one Folk
could not represent citizens of another Folk, and that Rights apply to Folks
rather than to individuals. Folkish
Nationalism spread from the right to the left.
Figure
3: Frequency of the term “patriot” in English language sources, per http://ngrams.googlelabs.com
Meanwhile,
States began to farm out their services.
Some were “privatized” or “subcontracted” (e.g., Maximus Canada[6] operates
health services in British Columbia.)
Others were awarded as grants to NGOs (ACORN, Halliburton, Planned
Parenthood, etc.) or spun off as “quasi-governmental entities” (Federal
Reserve, USPS, Fannie Mae, etc.). Still other
State powers were subsumed by supra-State organizations like the European Union
or the United Nations.
The natural
impulse of a Popular State is to extend the idea of Fairness through rules. [7] This triggers circumvention, loop-holing, and
gaming the system, which leads in turn to further rules to plug the loopholes. Eventually, the rules accumulate to the point
that most citizens no longer understand how to deal with them. (How exactly does one run for Congress or open a small business?) At this point democracy implodes to
technocracy.
It has
become possible to foment and even run a rebellion without ever crossing the
border. The power of radio was seen
already in Nazi Germany, but since then videotapes followed by the Internet have
added to that capacity. Today, a
demonstration or mob can be organized in a flash. It is naïve to suppose that the organizers
will always be kinder, gentler people and the flashmobs anything more than
dupes for the powerful.
For SF
writers, what will the future look like?
Perhaps the modern State will run to completion and become the Total
State it has always aspired to, regulating or running everything within its
territorial boundaries, telling people what sort of light bulbs they can use or
how much water their toilets must hold.
But perhaps it will become something more like a holding company,
providing a playing field within which it will license various NGOs to deliver
what States used to deliver, a practice curiously like that of the granting of
feudal fiefs.
But
“the feebleness of enormously powerful states” among themselves reflects their
impotence within themselves. A few
thousand students or farmers upset over a cut in their subsidies can defy
governments armed with tanks and atomic bombs.
Eventually, this will become common wisdom and “a long transitory brutal
period of insecurity and terror” will set in.
A New Dark Age.
But it
was once a truism that the Mafia-controlled neighborhoods of New York were the
most crime-free, and anyone can play the game of private warfare. The reaction against the anarchy may see a
sort of alliance between governments, NGOs, and street gangs, as a new sort of
feudal warfare becomes the norm.
[1]
Compare how literati and
artists reacted to aerial flight and how it reacted to space flight fifty years
later.
[2]
Compare anti-bourgeois gatherings, which tend to repeatedly chant three-word
slogans.
[3]
Middle-brow had been invented. Could the
Oprah Book Club be far behind?
[4]
Though
Nietzsche observed that rebellious youth was more interested in the sputtering
fuse than in the explosion it would lead to.
In his day, idealistic youth wanted Change; specifically fascism.
[5]
The
Albanian State did not invade and conquer southern Serbia; the Albanian Folk
simply sloshed across the frontier into
Kosovo until it was de facto Albanian. See the Moroccan takeover of Spanish Sahara for an earlier example.
[6]
Corporate HQ: Reston VA. Motto: “Helping
Government Help People.”
[7]
The Germans have a wonderful term for such people: Besserwissers, “those who know better.”
©2014 Michael F. Flynn
©2014 Michael F. Flynn
Would the American takeover of Texas be an even earlier example of the "sloshing over" concept? Albeit one which eventually took on specifically modern trappings.
ReplyDeleteA bit early, and the Texans had been invited to settle there by the Mexican government. But certainly a forerunner.
Delete