The Post-ABC poll was conducted Jan. 20-23 among a random national sample of 1,003 adults, including interviews on land lines and with cellphone-only respondents. The overall margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.There is not enough information -- by far -- to evaluate the adequacy of this procedure. (What sampling frame did they use to access the adults? Land-lines tend to access whole households; cellphone-only will pick up a lot of teens. Was this a two-stage cluster sample? The only thing we know for certain is that the sampling error was probably larger than 3.5%-points. Why? Because the results of any poll are usually less certain than we think. As near as TOF can figure that is a sampling error based on a simple (unstratified) random sample, a very difficult thing to obtain.
But the scariest result of the poll is not
that respondents tended toward favoring the Democrats on abortion and the Republicans on gun control. (How's that for cafeteria politics!) Or that this president is as popular as George W. Bush was at the same point in their respective administrations (and nowhere close to Reagan or Clinton). It is the response to this question:
Stipulated, the Constitution allows for specific instances of presidential action, but not broadly speaking to "accomplish their administration's goals."
|Modern Role Model|
Each party can be depended upon to denounce the power grabs of the other; but this sort of thing is never reversed because when the opposition party is in power, they will not voluntarily relinquish that power.